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When the 4% Rule for Spending in Retirement Works—and When It Doesn’t
The brief
- The 4% retirement-spending rule had an 81.5% success rate when stocks rose and inflation was modest
- US core PCE inflation undershoots estimates as Q2 GDP growth is revised to 2.2%
- US PCE inflation rises 0.3% in August as consumer spending surges
- Fed’s preferred gauge showed core inflation at 3.0% in August, much lighter than expected
- Dollar Powers to Best Month Since June on Fed’s Inflation Fight
- Fed's Williams sees a possible rate hike later in 2026, with no rush to act